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Producer Prices: Pipeline Pressures Slow Less Than Expected
December 9, 2022
Bottom Line: Producer prices rose slightly more than expected, continuing a sharp deceleration in producer price pressures. However, the readings were stronger than expected and were revised higher for October. Final demand services led the increase, with about 1/3rd of that coming because of higher stock market prices -- investment management fees calculated based on assets under management jumped with the stock market gains in November. Goods prices continued to decelerate, with final demand goods rising just 0.1% after increasing 0.6% in October. And prices for intermediate finished goods moved DOWN for the fifth consecutive month. While a touch stronger than expected, this report confirmed the continued correction in core goods prices and deceleration in services price inflation. Core PPI was running at just 2.7% annualized in the three months that ended in October, well below the pace of the last six- and 12-months, 3.5%, and 6.26%, respectively.The PPI ROSE by 0.3% in November, compared with market expectations for an increase of 0.2%. Overall producer prices are 7.4% ABOVE the year-ago level.
The Goods PPI ROSE by 0.1% in November and is now 9.6% ABOVE its year-ago level. Food prices rose by 3.3% and are now 15.4% ABOVE their year-ago level. Meanwhile, energy prices fell by 3.3%. but are now 16.0% ABOVE their year-ago level. The Goods PPI less food and energy ROSE by 0.3%, and is now 6.2% ABOVE its year-ago level.
The Services PPI ROSE by 0.4% in November and is now 5.9% ABOVE its year-ago level.The Core PPI ROSE by 0.4%, compared with market expectations for an increase of 0.2%. Core producer prices are now 6.3% ABOVE their year-ago level.
The Goods PPI ROSE by 0.1% in November and is now 9.6% ABOVE its year-ago level. Food prices rose by 3.3% and are now 15.4% ABOVE their year-ago level. Meanwhile, energy prices fell by 3.3%. but are now 16.0% ABOVE their year-ago level. The Goods PPI less food and energy ROSE by 0.3%, and is now 6.2% ABOVE its year-ago level.
The Services PPI ROSE by 0.4% in November and is now 5.9% ABOVE its year-ago level.The Core PPI ROSE by 0.4%, compared with market expectations for an increase of 0.2%. Core producer prices are now 6.3% ABOVE their year-ago level.
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Contingent Macro